Bus Terminal Replacement Project
Appendix 9C. Transit in New York City
Page 9C-5
Technical Manual recommends a tiered approach in evaluating a project’s effects on transit
ridership.
Future growth in capacity at the Replacement Facility, the private development towers, and
new retail determined the Proposed Project’s transit trip generation. Local transit trips generated
by the commercial development or facilitated by the increased capacity of the bus terminal
were assigned to area transit facilities, including bus stops, subway stations, and elements within
stations based on routing developed in consultation with NYCT. Elements within subway stations
where the total project-generated pedestrian trips equaled or exceeded 200 people per hour
were included in the analysis.
9.2.2.1 Level I Screening
Trip Generation was performed for the private development associated with the Proposed
Project as a part of the Level 1 Screening. The private development would generate 11,574 and
11,607 person trips in the AM and PM peak hours, respectively. This includes 7,792 and 7,165
subway and local bus trips in the AM and PM peak hours, respectively. In addition, the
Replacement Facility would accommodate a forecast growth in ridership of 6,329 and 6,088
person trips in the AM and PM peak hours, respectively, by 2040. Of these, 2,880 are subway and
local bus trips in the AM peak hour and 2,770 are subway and local bus trips in the PM peak
hour. The combined development-generated trips and incremental local bus terminal trips are
subsequently referred to as ‘Project trips.' A summary of the trips that would be generated are
shown in Appendix 9F. These overall volumes generated by the Proposed Project indicate that
Level 2 screening is required for subways and local buses that serve the study area. Both project-
generated and background volumes are much lower on transit services and facilities in the city
during the midday than either the AM or PM peak periods, so analysis of midday conditions is not
required for transit in the city.
9.2.2.2 Level 2 Screening
Project trips were assigned to subway lines, subway stations, and local bus routes in the
surrounding area as part of the Level 2 analysis. The assignment to routes and stations was
guided by a combination of outputs from the PANYNJ’s trans-Hudson travel demand forecast
model
3
and guidance received from NYCT regarding appropriate distribution of volumes to
stations and routes. The Level 2 screening indicated that further analysis is required at two
subway stations serving the area: 42nd Street/Port Authority Bus Terminal (Eighth Avenue) station
and Times Square-42nd Street station. The screening indicated that detailed analyses should be
performed for the 1, 2, 3, 7, A, C, E, N, Q, R, and W subway lines and for the M7, M11, M20, M34,
M34A, M42, and M104 bus routes.
3
See Appendix 9A for more information on the PANYNJ Trans-Hudson Travel Demand Forecast.